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May 18, 2009


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One need not wonder about the "bipolar" nature of the discrepancy. The February bar is mostly made up of people who failed the July bar. To the extent the bar graders in the summer allowed marginal scores to pass (and thus increased the July passage rate), the remainder are less likely to pass the next time around. Every marginal candidate that is passed in July is one less candidate that has a high probability of passing in February (high in relation to the other repeaters).


Anon, First time takers from CA accredited schools had a 53% pass rate. That is lower than usual. It was not just repeaters, it was everyone.

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